Ecuador’s president tried to kill the dollar. Here’s what that means for Venezuela, Argentina and the Rest of Latin America

Ecuador’s president tried to kill the dollar. Here’s what that means for Venezuela, Argentina and the Rest of Latin America

Source: Fortune

Summary

Ecuador’s adoption of the U.S. dollar in 2000 followed a severe devaluation of the sucre, which lost two-thirds of its value in 1999. The move, supported by President Bill Clinton, led to economic stability, reduced inflation, and growth. Despite opposition from former President Rafael Correa, who called it “monetary suicide,” dollarization has endured. Correa, however, undermined the system through fiscal and monetary policies, including central bank lending to the government. Today, Ecuador remains dollarized, with 90% public support, though some restrictions remain.


Our Reading

The numbers tell one story.

Ecuador’s sucre collapsed in 1999, losing two-thirds of its value.

Dollarization was adopted in 2000, leading to stability and growth.

Correa opposed it but could not dismantle it due to public support.

His policies weakened the system, but dollarization survived.

Stability is the silent winner in a currency crisis.


Author: Evan Null

The collapse

In 1999, Ecuador’s sucre plummeted, losing two-thirds of its value against the dollar in one year. The currency continued to fall, hitting an all-time low of 28,000 sucres to the dollar in early 2000. Faced with a collapsing economy, President Jamil Mahuad announced dollarization, supported by the U.S. government. The move stabilized the economy, reduced inflation, and restored growth.

A durable regime

Dollarization has lasted longer than any Ecuadorian constitution and enjoys 90% public approval. Despite opposition from Rafael Correa, who called it “monetary suicide,” the system endured. Correa, a former economics professor, claimed he would not undo it, but his policies undermined its foundations.

What Correa did instead

Correa dismantled a fiscal anchor by scrapping an oil reserve fund. He imposed capital controls, raised import tariffs, and restricted foreign capital. He also forced banks to deposit liquidity at the central bank and allowed it to lend directly to the government. These actions created unbacked “ecuadollars,” violating the principles of dollarization.

The legacy

Correa was convicted of corruption but lives in Belgium. His policies left lasting damage, with the central bank still influencing lending and capital controls limiting access to global liquidity. Dollarization remains, but its full benefits are not realized. The system has protected Ecuador from currency crises, proving its effectiveness.

Lessons for other countries

For nations considering dollarization, Ecuador’s experience shows the dollar can provide stability. It has prevented currency crises, supported growth, and kept inflation low. However, political interference can weaken the system. The lesson is clear: the dollar works, but its success depends on institutional integrity.